Optimism, Pessimism, or the paradox of a third way? 🎯 Wednesday Win


How can we best deal with the hardest challenges? Should we embrace optimism? Focus on "what's the worst that could happen?" Or, is there another, better way to deal with hardship and emerge stronger?

Read on: blog.WednesdayWin.com​

Read time: 3 minutes

In deeply challenging times, leaders often struggle with how to frame the current conditions and the actions required to reach a positive outcome. One of the great lessons in responding to profound difficulties was that of prisoner of war James Stockdale who was held captive in brutal conditions in Vietnam for nearly 8 years.

He later expressed his theory for how he survived that experience when so many others--especially the optimists among his fellow captives--suffered so much more psychological torment during and after their captivity.

Stockdale's particular blend of realism and confidence was branded the Stockdale Paradox by author Jim Collins. He summarized this third way model:

You must maintain unwavering faith that you can and will prevail in the end, regardless of the difficulties, and at the same time, have the discipline to confront the most brutal facts of your current reality, whatever they might be.

Let's explore:

1. James "Jim" Stockdale

Stockdale, a Naval Aviator, was the highest ranking US captive at the Hỏa Lò Prison in Hanoi and was tortured numerous times during his captivity. He witnessed the torture of countless others during his years in the prison and experienced first hand how the different coping tools of his countrymen supported or undermined their individual health and well-being.

He noted that the optimists of the group who kept pinning their hopes to a fast approaching end to the conflict and their captivity were repeatedly crushed when those endlessly hopeful outcomes weren't realized.

His view was that the ultimate confidence of release and freedom had to be both unwavering and kept fully independent from the current conditions. Today's facts must be faced as the difficulties cannot be wished away.

​Stockdale was awarded the Congressional Medal of Honor for his actions while in captivity.

What were the key elements of his way of thinking?

2. Be a realist in the moment

Bad conditions require honest assessments. Leaders must make difficult decisions. And hard, often unpleasant work must be done.

Business leaders don't normally face such difficult conditions as Stockdale and his compatriots did, but the choice of whether or not to apply an optimistic spin to harsh conditions does.

As Richard Feynman famously said, the first principle is that you must not fool yourself.

  • Honestly assess difficult challenges
  • Take stock of available options and realistic responses
  • Avoid making unsupported promises for rosy outcomes
  • Be forthright with your team about the hard work that must be done

Real progress will require addressing the actual problems and not hoping for a magical win to shortcut the tough road ahead.

3. Remain fully confident in the resolution

Combined with the realistic appraisal of the situation, confidence in an ultimately successful completion of the challenge must remain throughout.

This is the heart of the paradox. Effective leaders understand how to keep that clear vision at the center of their confidence while not allowing the wish that it appear sooner or be delivered without the full effort required.

Believe in the outcome, but live in the moment.

  • Maintain a clear vision of ultimate success
  • Direction and outcome take priority over timeline
  • Leaders need to be able to express this vision to their team without undermining the work to be done

4. Find strength in the journey

Stockdale was so confident in the ultimate outcome and came to embrace the difficulties of his experience as the defining event of his life. He would no longer wonder what he was capable of enduring as he had experienced it and survived.

One of the most powerful ways to face challenging circumstances in our lives is to look back at what we have overcome already. Use those past successes and lessons learned as the basis for facing today's challenges.

  • There's power in recognizing past hardships overcome
  • Hard challenges build strengths that can be used for future successes
  • Successes carry more impact for you and your team when the effort required was great

Action Summary

Business challenges are not like physical torture at the hands of captors. But lessons learned in extreme hardship can also help all of us address the far more common kinds of challenges whether short- or long-term. External shocks, unpredictable customers, staff surprises, natural disasters, and more can upend our plans at put us on crisis footing.

Being thoughtful about how to respond with authority as a leader is a superpower that will benefit you and your team when the inevitable challenges come.

Consider the paradox:

  • Accept the truth as it is and steel yourself for the challenges
  • Remain committed to the ultimate, positive outcome that will result
  • Allow the experience to strengthen you for the future

Stockdale's story is included in Jim Collins' Good to Great as an instructive story for leaders.

What do you think? How does the Stockdale Paradox align with your mental model of responding to profound challenges?

Reply to this email and let me know.

​

To your success,

Christopher


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